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Oil, Shipping, Inflation: The Ripple Effects of the Iran War

A conversation with The Economist's Gregg Carlstrom

This conversation was originally published on June 3rd, 2026.

We keep hearing that another economic shock is coming if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed. But for many Americans, with $7 gas and $6 eggs, the shock is already here.

So I spoke with Gregg Carlstrom, Middle East correspondent for The Economist, currently in Riyadh. He explains why prices could spike even if a deal is reached soon; how the closure could ripple through oil, fertilizer, jet fuel, food, and medical supplies; and why leaders in the Gulf are increasingly worried about the lack of a clear endgame. It’s about more than gas prices and the next few weeks matter.

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